Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +27.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-27.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 68.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 80.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 73.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Newhook
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Newhook
Bergeron
Last 8: Newhook 2-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Newhook
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Newhook
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
63.8% (1,102)
-28.6%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
65.3% (288)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.6% (210)
-14.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Newhook
Bergeron
Home
38.1% (189)
62.5% (882)
Away
31.5% (203)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Newhook
Bergeron
P1
33.9%
62.5%
P2
36.3%
62.7%
P3
33.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
34.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |