Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Bergeron 57.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 54.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 85.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 71.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Boyle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Boyle
Bergeron
Last 9: Boyle 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Boyle
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
4
Boyle
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
59.9% (870)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
54.4% (272)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
53.3% (169)
-6.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyle is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Boyle shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bergeron
Home
48.5% (194)
57.8% (611)
Away
56.6% (182)
58.0% (700)
By Period
Boyle
Bergeron
P1
49.1%
57.7%
P2
55.9%
57.6%
P3
51.7%
58.7%
OT
0.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |