Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 60.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 73.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 62.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Grant
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Grant
Bergeron
Last 10: Grant 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Grant
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
62.5% (1,254)
-9.3%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
60.1% (303)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
48.2% (255)
-2.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Grant
Bergeron
Home
50.9% (161)
62.2% (902)
Away
53.4% (223)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Grant
Bergeron
P1
53.4%
59.6%
P2
47.9%
60.4%
P3
56.0%
60.2%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |