Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 75.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 77.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 72.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Grant
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grant
Bergeron
Last 7: Grant 3-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Grant
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
62.5% (1,109)
-6.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
62.2% (352)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
53.5% (245)
-5.0%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Grant
Bergeron
Home
60.3% (257)
61.9% (917)
Away
49.6% (236)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Grant
Bergeron
P1
54.7%
60.8%
P2
54.0%
60.3%
P3
57.1%
63.0%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |