Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 82.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 70.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 76.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Spezza
Bergeron
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
4
Spezza
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
5
Spezza
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
59.4% (1,274)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
57.5% (193)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
55.5% (265)
-2.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
55.8% (695)
61.9% (837)
Away
52.2% (741)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
50.3%
60.1%
P2
54.7%
59.2%
P3
56.0%
56.6%
OT
73.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |