Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 81.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 53.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Bergeron
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Spezza
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
60.5% (1,394)
-7.5%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
64.0% (300)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
53.7% (255)
-3.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
56.4% (626)
62.0% (949)
Away
51.7% (636)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
56.9%
59.2%
P2
51.9%
63.9%
P3
53.9%
57.0%
OT
46.2%
68.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |