Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 63.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 65.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Bergeron
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Spezza
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Spezza
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
62.5% (1,254)
-11.2%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
60.1% (303)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
48.2% (255)
-3.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
53.7% (374)
62.2% (902)
Away
50.3% (304)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
50.2%
59.6%
P2
50.2%
60.4%
P3
56.2%
60.2%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |