Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 65.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 67.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Thornton
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Thornton
Bergeron
Last 10: Thornton 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Thornton
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Thornton
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
5
Thornton
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
61.6% (1,186)
-5.8%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
52.2% (201)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
54.6% (240)
+2.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Thornton is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Thornton shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bergeron
Home
59.0% (493)
61.7% (828)
Away
53.2% (500)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Thornton
Bergeron
P1
55.3%
58.5%
P2
55.4%
61.8%
P3
57.1%
57.8%
OT
59.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |