Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 71.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 68.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Thornton
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Thornton
Bergeron
Last 10: Thornton 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Thornton
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Thornton
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
59.4% (1,274)
-4.3%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
57.5% (193)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
55.5% (265)
+0.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bergeron
Home
60.4% (528)
61.9% (837)
Away
52.2% (571)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Thornton
Bergeron
P1
58.1%
60.1%
P2
55.3%
59.2%
P3
55.0%
56.6%
OT
55.2%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |