Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 51.7% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 83.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 85.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 83.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Thornton
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Thornton
Bergeron
Last 8: Thornton 1-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Thornton
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Thornton
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (372)
58.4% (972)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.6% (63)
53.4% (221)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
56.0% (175)
+4.0%
On power play, Bergeron has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Thornton shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Thornton
Bergeron
Home
51.2% (250)
59.0% (712)
Away
53.2% (190)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Thornton
Bergeron
P1
56.1%
59.1%
P2
52.8%
60.2%
P3
47.4%
53.0%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |