Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
7
Tavares
Bergeron
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
7
Tavares
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Tavares
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
60.5% (1,394)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
64.0% (300)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
53.7% (255)
+5.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
56.5% (731)
62.0% (949)
Away
47.8% (711)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
56.1%
59.2%
P2
50.3%
63.9%
P3
50.5%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |