Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 72.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
22
(36 meetings)
14
22
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
4
Tavares
Bergeron
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
13
Tavares
Bergeron
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
5
Tavares
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
57.0% (1,376)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
62.8% (323)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
51.3% (279)
-1.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
56.8% (655)
59.1% (986)
Away
51.6% (715)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
54.1%
55.5%
P2
53.9%
58.0%
P3
54.3%
57.9%
OT
54.2%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 8, 2015 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |