Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 77.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Tavares
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
6
Tavares
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
9
Tavares
Bergeron
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
58.4% (972)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
53.4% (221)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
56.0% (175)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
55.0% (864)
59.0% (712)
Away
50.8% (862)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
51.8%
59.1%
P2
51.4%
60.2%
P3
54.5%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |