Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Tavares
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
7
Tavares
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
56.2% (940)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
61.6% (284)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
50.3% (165)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
57.5% (762)
57.7% (712)
Away
51.4% (766)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
54.5%
55.0%
P2
53.2%
57.1%
P3
55.5%
58.2%
OT
60.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
57.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |