Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 58.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 71.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Norris
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Norris
Bergeron
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Norris
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
62.5% (1,109)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
62.2% (352)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
53.5% (245)
-6.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Norris
Bergeron
Home
62.2% (37)
61.9% (917)
Away
50.0% (20)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Norris
Bergeron
P1
64.3%
60.8%
P2
59.1%
60.3%
P3
52.4%
63.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |