Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Talbot wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 84.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 84.5%
Neutral zone
Talbot 91.0%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Talbot
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Talbot
Bergeron
Last 10: Talbot 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
5
Talbot
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Talbot
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Talbot
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
61.6% (1,186)
-16.5%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
52.2% (201)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
54.6% (240)
-14.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Talbot is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Talbot shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Talbot
Bergeron
Home
47.8% (295)
61.7% (828)
Away
41.4% (345)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Talbot
Bergeron
P1
47.0%
58.5%
P2
41.5%
61.8%
P3
44.5%
57.8%
OT
44.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |