Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 83.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 82.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 85.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Bonino
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bonino
Bergeron
Last 5: Bonino 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
Bonino
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (926)
60.5% (1,394)
-12.3%
Power Play
48.6% (109)
64.0% (300)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (210)
53.7% (255)
-10.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Bonino shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bergeron
Home
47.8% (653)
62.0% (949)
Away
47.0% (592)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Bonino
Bergeron
P1
45.9%
59.2%
P2
47.0%
63.9%
P3
49.4%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |