Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.7% vs Stastny 57.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 64.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 68.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Bergeron
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bergeron
Stastny
Last 6: Bergeron 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (1,394)
57.6% (959)
+2.9%
Power Play
64.0% (300)
60.8% (125)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (255)
58.1% (74)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Bergeron shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Stastny
Home
62.0% (949)
55.9% (590)
Away
58.6% (1,002)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Bergeron
Stastny
P1
59.2%
59.6%
P2
63.9%
59.0%
P3
57.0%
55.3%
OT
68.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
59.0%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |