Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Stastny 54.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Bergeron
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bergeron
Stastny
Last 5: Bergeron 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Bergeron
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (972)
54.8% (1,130)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.4% (221)
59.1% (235)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (175)
49.3% (150)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Bergeron shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Stastny
Home
59.0% (712)
55.5% (803)
Away
55.5% (656)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Bergeron
Stastny
P1
59.1%
57.4%
P2
60.2%
52.5%
P3
53.0%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |