Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.1% vs Zacha 49.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 52.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 81.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 62.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Bergeron
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bergeron
Zacha
Last 6: Bergeron 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Bergeron
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (940)
47.8% (619)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.6% (284)
58.6% (29)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (165)
54.7% (64)
-4.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Bergeron shoots right. Zacha is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zacha
Home
57.7% (712)
50.8% (394)
Away
55.4% (677)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Bergeron
Zacha
P1
55.0%
48.5%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
58.2%
47.6%
OT
48.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |