Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Zacha 50.1% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 50.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Bergeron
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bergeron
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Bergeron
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
48.0% (296)
+15.8%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
61.0% (59)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
50.0% (22)
-2.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zacha
Home
62.5% (882)
48.9% (223)
Away
61.3% (718)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Bergeron
Zacha
P1
62.5%
47.9%
P2
62.7%
48.3%
P3
60.6%
54.3%
OT
62.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |