Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.3% vs Zacha 51.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 33-17 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 97.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 96.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Bergeron
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
17
(50 meetings)
33
17
Bergeron
Zacha
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
15
5
Bergeron
Zacha
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
13
12
Bergeron
Zacha
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (760)
53.3% (411)
+7.4%
Power Play
70.9% (230)
51.8% (114)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (157)
42.0% (81)
+15.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bergeron is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Bergeron shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Zacha
Home
64.4% (567)
52.2% (295)
Away
60.2% (580)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Bergeron
Zacha
P1
63.8%
50.5%
P2
58.6%
51.3%
P3
63.9%
52.0%
OT
76.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
63.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | OT | 02:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |