Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Nash 48.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 29-11 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 98.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 97.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 97.0%
97.0%
3.0%
Bergeron
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
11
(40 meetings)
29
11
Bergeron
Nash
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
13
3
Bergeron
Nash
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
9
6
Bergeron
Nash
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
2
Bergeron
Nash
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
48.7% (4,621)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
51.0% (249)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
44.9% (550)
+8.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Bergeron shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Nash
Home
61.2% (10,028)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Bergeron
Nash
P1
59.3%
49.0%
P2
60.0%
47.9%
P3
58.6%
48.0%
OT
57.9%
68.4%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |