Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Nash 51.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 96.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 74.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 91.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Bergeron
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bergeron
Nash
Last 7: Bergeron 6-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Bergeron
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
54.1% (292)
+9.7%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
57.1% (7)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
45.9% (98)
+1.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Bergeron shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Nash
Home
62.5% (882)
56.3% (183)
Away
61.3% (718)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Bergeron
Nash
P1
62.5%
58.9%
P2
62.7%
51.0%
P3
60.6%
46.5%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |