Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Nash 49.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 86.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 95.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 90.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Bergeron
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Bergeron
Nash
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
50.7% (341)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
58.3% (24)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
24.0% (25)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Bergeron shoots right. Nash is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Nash
Home
59.1% (986)
50.0% (200)
Away
55.1% (992)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Bergeron
Nash
P1
55.5%
47.1%
P2
58.0%
60.6%
P3
57.9%
38.1%
OT
53.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |