Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Fabbri 49.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 92.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 96.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 93.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Bergeron
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Bergeron
Fabbri
Last 6: Bergeron 6-0 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Fabbri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
Fabbri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
49.4% (89)
+14.4%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
50.0% (20)
+15.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Fabbri is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Fabbri
Home
62.5% (882)
50.0% (50)
Away
61.3% (718)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Bergeron
Fabbri
P1
62.5%
51.9%
P2
62.7%
51.2%
P3
60.6%
51.5%
OT
62.5%
16.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |