Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Colton 51.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 89.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 89.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 94.7%
94.7%
5.3%
Bergeron
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Bergeron
Colton
Last 7: Bergeron 7-0 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
0
Bergeron
Colton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
52.7% (524)
+11.1%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
50.9% (53)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
0.0% (4)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Colton
Home
62.5% (882)
52.9% (291)
Away
61.3% (718)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Bergeron
Colton
P1
62.5%
50.6%
P2
62.7%
54.4%
P3
60.6%
51.6%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |