Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 69.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Bergeron 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
45.4% (527)
+17.1%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
41.2% (17)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
44.9% (138)
+8.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.9% (917)
46.1% (336)
Away
60.2% (789)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Bergeron
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.8%
49.1%
P2
60.3%
45.3%
P3
63.0%
42.0%
OT
51.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |