Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 77 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 117-111 in 228 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 50.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 52.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
111
-
117
(228 meetings)
111
117
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
52
41
Bergeron
O'Reilly
93 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
30
47
Bergeron
O'Reilly
77 total
Neutral Zone
Even
29
29
Bergeron
O'Reilly
58 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
56.2% (15,249)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
58.8% (3,443)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
51.4% (2,806)
+1.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,673).
Home / Away
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Home
61.2% (10,028)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
54.4% (10,769)
By Period
Bergeron
O'Reilly
P1
59.3%
55.6%
P2
60.0%
57.0%
P3
58.6%
55.0%
OT
57.9%
62.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |