Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 69.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 56.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 65.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Last 9: Bergeron 5-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
3
Bergeron
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Bergeron
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
56.1% (690)
+6.4%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
64.6% (96)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
45.9% (109)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Home
61.9% (917)
58.3% (408)
Away
60.2% (789)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Bergeron
O'Reilly
P1
60.8%
57.7%
P2
60.3%
54.8%
P3
63.0%
55.2%
OT
51.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |