Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan O'Reilly
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 67.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 90.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 85.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Last 6: Bergeron 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
0
Bergeron
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Bergeron
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
51.5% (194)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
52.3% (107)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
51.4% (70)
+4.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Bergeron
O'Reilly
Home
61.9% (837)
50.3% (185)
Away
55.5% (895)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Bergeron
O'Reilly
P1
60.1%
51.0%
P2
59.2%
48.9%
P3
56.6%
53.3%
OT
57.7%
68.8%
Final 5 min
55.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |