Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 92.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 98.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 97.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Bergeron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Bergeron
Gagner
Last 10: Bergeron 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
3
Bergeron
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
1
Bergeron
Gagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
2
Bergeron
Gagner
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
45.4% (4,699)
+14.7%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
51.5% (928)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
35.0% (226)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Bergeron shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gagner
Home
61.2% (10,028)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Bergeron
Gagner
P1
59.3%
44.6%
P2
60.0%
46.1%
P3
58.6%
47.3%
OT
57.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |