Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Gagner 47.5% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 96.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 81.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 93.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Bergeron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bergeron
Gagner
Last 5: Bergeron 5-0 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
51.3% (158)
+12.5%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
66.7% (36)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
33.6% (110)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Bergeron shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gagner
Home
62.5% (882)
53.2% (154)
Away
61.3% (718)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Bergeron
Gagner
P1
62.5%
35.6%
P2
62.7%
52.7%
P3
60.6%
51.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |