Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.7% vs Gagner 47.2% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 97.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Bergeron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bergeron
Gagner
Last 5: Bergeron 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Bergeron
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (1,394)
45.6% (651)
+14.9%
Power Play
64.0% (300)
53.8% (119)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (255)
0.0% (1)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Bergeron shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gagner
Home
62.0% (949)
47.1% (367)
Away
58.6% (1,002)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Bergeron
Gagner
P1
59.2%
49.6%
P2
63.9%
47.9%
P3
57.0%
43.4%
OT
68.6%
43.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |