Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Reinhart 43.9% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 93.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 95.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Bergeron
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bergeron
Reinhart
Last 5: Bergeron 4-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
39.6% (192)
+22.9%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
55.6% (18)
+4.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Bergeron shoots right. Reinhart is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Reinhart
Home
62.2% (902)
38.5% (109)
Away
58.0% (910)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Bergeron
Reinhart
P1
59.6%
32.9%
P2
60.4%
48.5%
P3
60.2%
42.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |