Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 92.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 88.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 80.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 89.5%
10.5%
89.5%
Bergeron
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bergeron
Reinhart
Last 7: Bergeron 1-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
3
Bergeron
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Bergeron
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Bergeron
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
49.4% (259)
+13.1%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
54.4% (136)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
47.9% (71)
+5.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Reinhart
Home
61.9% (917)
54.9% (235)
Away
60.2% (789)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Bergeron
Reinhart
P1
60.8%
52.3%
P2
60.3%
50.0%
P3
63.0%
50.0%
OT
51.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |