Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Bergeron wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.3% vs Reinhart 46.8% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 55.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 79.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 70.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Bergeron
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Bergeron
Reinhart
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
2
Bergeron
Reinhart
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
4
Bergeron
Reinhart
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (760)
44.4% (234)
+16.3%
Power Play
70.9% (230)
55.3% (38)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (157)
25.0% (4)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Bergeron is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Bergeron shoots right. Reinhart is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Reinhart
Home
64.4% (567)
44.9% (158)
Away
60.2% (580)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Bergeron
Reinhart
P1
63.8%
43.0%
P2
58.6%
46.7%
P3
63.9%
46.3%
OT
76.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |