Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Steel 48.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 72.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 76.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 65.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Bergeron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bergeron
Steel
Last 7: Bergeron 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Bergeron
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
49.5% (553)
+13.0%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
61.3% (31)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
30.6% (49)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Steel
Home
61.9% (917)
46.4% (347)
Away
60.2% (789)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Bergeron
Steel
P1
60.8%
52.1%
P2
60.3%
49.8%
P3
63.0%
45.2%
OT
51.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |