Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Monahan 51.4% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 75.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 96.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 95.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Bergeron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Bergeron
Monahan
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
1
Bergeron
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
1
Bergeron
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Bergeron
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
50.2% (1,117)
+12.3%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
55.5% (283)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (255)
56.8% (44)
-8.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Bergeron shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Monahan
Home
62.2% (902)
50.1% (731)
Away
58.0% (910)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Bergeron
Monahan
P1
59.6%
51.3%
P2
60.4%
50.3%
P3
60.2%
53.1%
OT
62.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.7%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |