Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 56.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 51.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Bergeron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Bergeron
Monahan
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bergeron
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Bergeron
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
51.5% (641)
+12.3%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
62.8% (129)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
33.3% (9)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Monahan
Home
62.5% (882)
53.9% (362)
Away
61.3% (718)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Bergeron
Monahan
P1
62.5%
48.0%
P2
62.7%
57.0%
P3
60.6%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |