Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 57.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 89.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 81.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Bergeron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bergeron
Monahan
Last 7: Bergeron 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Bergeron
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (870)
52.1% (858)
+7.8%
Power Play
54.4% (272)
55.9% (177)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
33.3% (9)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Bergeron shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Monahan
Home
57.8% (611)
52.6% (504)
Away
58.0% (700)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Bergeron
Monahan
P1
57.7%
56.7%
P2
57.6%
52.1%
P3
58.7%
48.1%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |