Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Pinto 51.9% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 82.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 76.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 76.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Bergeron
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Bergeron
Pinto
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
Bergeron
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Bergeron
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
Bergeron
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
52.5% (825)
+10.0%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
40.0% (10)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
44.4% (27)
+9.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Pinto is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Pinto
Home
61.9% (917)
52.8% (453)
Away
60.2% (789)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Bergeron
Pinto
P1
60.8%
49.0%
P2
60.3%
53.5%
P3
63.0%
53.7%
OT
51.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |