Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 22 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Oshie 46.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 68.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 97.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 91.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Bergeron
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
20
(47 meetings)
27
20
Bergeron
Oshie
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
17
Bergeron
Oshie
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
22
0
Bergeron
Oshie
22 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bergeron
Oshie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
45.2% (764)
+14.9%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
47.7% (1,221)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
40.2% (164)
+12.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Bergeron shoots right. Oshie is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Oshie
Home
61.2% (10,028)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Bergeron
Oshie
P1
59.3%
47.3%
P2
60.0%
45.2%
P3
58.6%
46.7%
OT
57.9%
40.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |