Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Oshie 47.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 56.8%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 93.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 64.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Bergeron
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bergeron
Oshie
Last 5: Bergeron 3-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Bergeron
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
48.3% (29)
+14.2%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
46.3% (149)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
0.0% (2)
+53.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Oshie is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Oshie
Home
61.9% (917)
55.9% (93)
Away
60.2% (789)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Bergeron
Oshie
P1
60.8%
50.9%
P2
60.3%
42.9%
P3
63.0%
43.6%
OT
51.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |