Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Oshie 51.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 75.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 53.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Bergeron
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Bergeron
Oshie
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
4
Bergeron
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
51.4% (35)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
53.5% (170)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
50.9% (57)
+0.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Bergeron shoots right. Oshie is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Oshie
Home
59.1% (986)
59.4% (138)
Away
55.1% (992)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Bergeron
Oshie
P1
55.5%
53.4%
P2
58.0%
48.9%
P3
57.9%
55.1%
OT
53.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |