Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Bergeron wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.3% vs Oshie 48.5% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 92.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 87.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Bergeron
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Bergeron
Oshie
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
6
Bergeron
Oshie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
0
Bergeron
Oshie
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (760)
43.3% (127)
+17.4%
Power Play
70.9% (230)
51.7% (151)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (157)
50.0% (12)
+7.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Bergeron is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Bergeron shoots right. Oshie is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Oshie
Home
64.4% (567)
42.1% (164)
Away
60.2% (580)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Bergeron
Oshie
P1
63.8%
44.7%
P2
58.6%
47.8%
P3
63.9%
52.1%
OT
76.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |