Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Boyd 43.9% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 76.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 66.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 70.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Bergeron
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Bergeron
Boyd
Last 10: Bergeron 5-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
3
Bergeron
Boyd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Bergeron
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
43.4% (893)
+19.1%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
51.5% (136)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
34.6% (127)
+18.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Boyd
Home
61.9% (917)
46.0% (570)
Away
60.2% (789)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Bergeron
Boyd
P1
60.8%
38.9%
P2
60.3%
50.4%
P3
63.0%
41.1%
OT
51.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |