Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 58.2%). Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 57.3% vs Seguin 57.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 81.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 63.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 10: Bergeron 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (870)
59.6% (736)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.4% (272)
61.5% (65)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
47.6% (124)
+5.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
57.8% (611)
60.1% (461)
Away
58.0% (700)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
57.7%
59.1%
P2
57.6%
58.9%
P3
58.7%
57.3%
OT
52.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |