Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 93.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 85.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 84.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 88.5%
11.5%
88.5%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 7: Bergeron 0-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bergeron
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
55.0% (713)
+7.5%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
56.7% (104)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
47.2% (53)
+6.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
61.9% (917)
56.2% (443)
Away
60.2% (789)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
60.8%
54.2%
P2
60.3%
52.9%
P3
63.0%
57.1%
OT
51.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |