Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 98.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 96.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 97.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 98.3%
98.3%
1.7%
Bergeron
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Bergeron
Jost
Last 8: Bergeron 7-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
1
Bergeron
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
41.0% (1,977)
+19.1%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
34.7% (72)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
34.9% (249)
+18.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Jost is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Jost
Home
61.2% (10,028)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Bergeron
Jost
P1
59.3%
38.5%
P2
60.0%
41.2%
P3
58.6%
40.8%
OT
57.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |